These days we are witnessing a little astonished at the fall of the dictatorships of Egypt and Tunisia and we'll see if it appears to fall another Jordan and Morocco also reeling begins to tremble.
In all these countries, the most important in terms of its geostrategic position, population size and economic power is Egypt. A country where it seemed that the United States were all neat, and go where the people helped by social networks in a week were charged a 30-year dictatorship.
am astonished because I thought one of these dictatorships, if some day they would fall because of religion. And again, who would say religion has nothing to do. The people want democracy, want freedom. And this is where the Internet, social networks, television, have done much harm to these dictatorships, censorship and even used to go as far as they could in the limited social networks, failed to stop the mouth - Ear or perhaps we should now say the keyboard - screen, and the snowball effect has been trapped together and have the evidence.
the moment, it seems that there has been no bloodshed. So unusual a few years ago, where a well would have ended with deaths in abundance. Remember Tiananmen. And the domino effect has meant that after an insignificant country in the world order as Tunisia, Egypt has fallen, now figs are another story. And from what happens today?
So what has happened these days is not the end of a process but the beginning. Now we need to articulate transitions from one system to another. There are theories to suit all tastes, from those who think that without blood there is no transition well done, to the extent contrary to law "an end", or the same transition in Spain. My grandfather, who was a very wise person and the English Civil War had always told us that when the war ended and everyone went home, "if we had not forgotten and people, we could not live" in alusió clear the allegations that there had been crossed in the war period.
The English transition is also a good example, driven by a person who I think has never been sufficiently treated like Adolfo Suarez. I guess a few years will be considered as his due.
What is clear is that to start the transition off the dictator should be. ElBaradei's words liked "that will bring a dictator to democracy is an oxymoron." I speak of this man who seems to have better image abroad to drive this process. In their curriculum is the Nobel Peace Prize 2005 and the general direction of the International Atomic Energy Agency. From here, it is also important is not having the feeling of being tutelage installed by foreign powers, especially the United States, much despised for its historical foreign policy.
The reasons that I see in this global revolution in the Islamic world are basically the comparison of these peoples with the rest of the world. Telecommunications networks show the world we live more or less anxiety, but with freedom. And their country is an oligarchy that accumulates wealth and a vast majority who have to spend two dollars a day. I have been great, have matured and have said enough is enough.
surprises me that these processes also caught the U.S. unprepared. I do not know paints what the CIA and its intelligence service. Neither were able to predict the fall of the Berlin Wall. No value worth spending that represents this service to the poor quality of the information takes.
And a question that comes to mind when I see all these processes is very interesting what will happen with China. If the firm will be able to keep its population under a dictatorial regime, where information is supplied fully filtered. And I wonder why things that happen in a country that will reach 1400 million in 2015. You can not disregard anything. The first time there was some movement did not hesitate to use the army, but I do not know whether the army will always be available to the government. Maybe someday will recognize that the army itself is the people, and is not to go against the people.
Finally, what you said Don Quixote to Sancho Panza: "The Freedom, Sancho, is one of the most beautiful women than men gave them to the skies, with her I can not igualarse treasures encierran that the land and the sea: the fear of freedom, as well as by the honor, it can and should be ventured life. "And so they did.
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